Will Donald Trump say “Zohran / Mamdani”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Zohran / Mamdani” at 14 of 46 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 1, 2025 (30%), most recently on Oct 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=46, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

43%from settlement history only · n=46Next: Weekly window, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
18¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mamdani%20%2F%20zohran

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Zohran / Mamdani

Probability
43% · n=46
Settled
14/46 (30%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 51 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 31, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes2
Oct 18, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed))
Oct 11, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes2
Oct 9, 2026Zohran/MamdaniPolymarketNo–
Oct 9, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo–
Oct 4, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 8 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 30, 2026Zohran / MamdaniPolymarketNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (30 of 42 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 30, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes1
Sep 27, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes1
Sep 20, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 16, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo0
Sep 13, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (16 of 18 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 10, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo0
Sep 8, 2026Zohran / MamdaniPolymarketNo0
Sep 8, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo0
Sep 6, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 31, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes2
Aug 30, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 23, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 16, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes2
Aug 14, 2026Zohran / MamdaniPolymarketYes2
Aug 14, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes2
Aug 11, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo–
Aug 9, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 2, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes1
Jul 28, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jul 24, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo0
Jul 22, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo0
Jul 17, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo0
Jun 25, 2026Zohran / MamdaniPolymarketNo0
May 22, 2026Zohran / MamdaniPolymarketNo–
May 22, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo–
Apr 30, 2026Zohran / MamdaniPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Mar 26, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo–
Mar 2, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo–
Feb 28, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo–
Feb 24, 2026Zohran / MamdaniPolymarketNo–
Feb 24, 2026Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo–
Dec 1, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 10, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 9, 2025Zohran / MamdaniPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Nov 3, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 1, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 27, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 20, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 20, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 13, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 6, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Sep 5, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo–
Sep 1, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Aug 1, 2025Zohran / MamdaniKalshiYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Zohran / Mamdani”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Zohran / Mamdani” at 14 of 46 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 1, 2025 (30%), most recently on Oct 12, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Zohran / Mamdani” next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=46). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Zohran / Mamdani’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/mamdani-or-zohran (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mamdani%20%2F%20zohran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP