Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 26, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his remarks at the Greek Independence Day Celebration?
Markets
25 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York | Yes | 57%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | Yes | 53%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Cyprus | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ancient | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Athens | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Heritage | Yes | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 27%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 60%n=109 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 58%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| Gas / Gasoline | No | 57%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 56%n=215 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 55%n=124 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 55%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | No | 46%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 45%n=183 from settlement history | – |
| Turkey | No | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Marco / Rubio | No | 42%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ottoman | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 32%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Age | No | 32%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Excursion | No | 30%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | 29%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 24%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 4%n=321 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAR26B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP