Donald Trump: Weekly window, Nov 9, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (November 3 - 9)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Nov 3, 2025 to Nov 9, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
13 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 68%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat Shutdown | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Escalator / Teleprompter | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Cuomo / Sliwa | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cambodia | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peace through strength | Yes | – | 0 | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Obamacare | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | – | 0 | 40%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 30%n=160 from settlement history | – |
| Nvidia | No | – | 0 | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Liberation Day | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-november-3-9 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP