Donald Trump: Monthly window, Sep 1, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say in Aug 2025?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Aug 4, 2025 to Sep 1, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
38 words · 19 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Witch Hunt | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Africa | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Too Big to Rig | Yes | – | 0 | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AOC | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bill Clinton | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Colbert | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Comey | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crooked Hillary | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dead Country | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Larry Summers | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Schiff | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Pelosi | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 42%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ghislaine / Maxwell | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 39%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Zelenskyy | Yes | – | 0 | 38%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 47%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Hunter | No | – | 0 | 45%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Clean Beautiful Coal | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Con Job | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lisa Monaco | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lyin Kamala | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Massie | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nest Egg | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paramount | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| South Park | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sydney Sweeney | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Two-State | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Loomer | No | – | 0 | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Swamp | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Palestine | No | – | 0 | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Recession | No | – | 0 | 38%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Elon | No | – | 0 | 36%n=30 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-25SEP · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP