Donald Trump: Tele-rally with Rob Wittman, Sep 17, 2026
At the rally on Sep 17, 2026, Donald Trump said 9 of the 26 words Kalshi listed.
UpdatedMarkets
26 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | 69%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 62%n=355 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 57%n=225 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | Yes | 55%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Military | Yes | 52%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 44%n=96 from settlement history | – |
| Navy | Yes | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Second Amendment | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Radical Left | Yes | 38%n=114 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 53%n=111 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 50%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | 50%n=98 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 49%n=235 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 48%n=108 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 45%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | No | 44%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 44%n=179 from settlement history | – |
| Peace Through Strength | No | 39%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 37%n=242 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 36%n=342 from settlement history | – |
| Shipbuilding / Shipbuilder | No | 36%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Veteran | No | 33%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 32%n=94 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 23%n=98 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | No | 20%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 16%n=249 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
Transcript pending. Expected around Oct 29, 2026 from the official transcript (American Presidency Project). Transcripts from this source are added when our worker runs, so there is no set time.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-09-17:rally-tele-rob-wittman · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-09-17:rally-tele-rob-wittman · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP