Donald Trump: Weekly window, Oct 4, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (September 28 - October 4)
Coverage
8 known appearances0 of 8 known appearances transcribed Window: Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Sep 28, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Sep 29, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium transcript pending
- Sep 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Sep 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration transcript pending
- Oct 1, 2026 Donald Trump: Rally in Oklahoma transcript pending
- Oct 1, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company transcript pending
- Oct 2, 2026 Donald Trump: Midterm Rally in Alabama transcript pending
- Oct 3, 2026 Donald Trump: Midterm Rally in Ohio transcript pending
Markets
15 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Through The Roof | Yes | – | 0 | 59%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Television / TV | Yes | – | 0 | 56%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Bridge | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| 22 | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Boom / Booming | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ticket | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dark Age | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Moon / Space | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| SI / Super Intelligence | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peanut / Nut | Yes | – | 0 | 35%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | Yes | – | 0 | 32%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Tiger | No | – | 0 | 65%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Pearl Harbor | No | – | 0 | 56%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | No | – | 0 | 40%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | – | 0 | 18%n=38 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-september-28-october-4-20261004 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP