Donald Trump: Rally, Sep 17, 2026
At the rally on Sep 17, 2026, Donald Trump said 8 of the 24 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 24 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
24 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 24 of 24- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Military | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 52%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 57%n=225 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 62%n=355 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 55%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Second Amendment | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Radical Left | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 38%n=114 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 69%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 44%n=96 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=111 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=98 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=235 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 48%n=108 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=179 from settlement history | – |
| Peace Through Strength | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=242 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=342 from settlement history | – |
| Veteran | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=94 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=98 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%n=249 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…the most important in Congress—he helped deliver the largest investment in our military in history, and your State is a very big—very, very big place…
And all of that will be terminated if the Democrats get in and so many other things too. So many other things.
…the best in the history of our country, despite the fact that Biden allowed 25 million people to come into our country, and they came…
And he voted for the SAVE America Act, and we're going to get the SAVE America Act passed. It's going to happen. The House just…
And I can just tell you, when it comes to the Second Amendment, they're very, very powerful also. And we're fighting for that because they…
But her radical-left "Dumocrat" opponent, Elaine Luria, said she's not going to vote for that, and she's part of the Pelosi corruption scandal that's going…
…Rob Wittman, Jen Kiggans, John McGuire all have my complete and total endorsement. They will never ever let you down. They'll—they're just spectacular warriors. They…
And finally, we have an "America first" warrior, somebody I'm very proud of because he beat somebody in the primary that was not so easy…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-09-17:rally-tele-john-mcguire · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-09-17:rally-tele-john-mcguire · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP