Donald Trump: Posts, week ending Sep 20, 2026
In the week ending Sep 20, 2026, Donald Trump posted 5 of the 13 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | Yes | 14 | 14 | ✓ | 70%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| Scam | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 44%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 75%n=180 from settlement history | – |
| Crime | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 85%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Vance | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 49%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 65%n=110 from settlement history | – |
| Investigation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 56%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Sanction | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Allah | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 10%n=53 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Posts
counts only; post text is not shownTruth Social posts by @realDonaldTrump, via CNN's public archive · The posts
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-09-20:posts_window · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-09-20:posts_window · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP