Donald Trump: Posts, week ending Aug 30, 2026
In the week ending Aug 30, 2026, Donald Trump posted 7 of the 10 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 8 of 10 settlements.
UpdatedMarkets
10 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 8 of 10- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | Yes | 8 | 10 | ✓ | 55%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 71%n=177 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | Yes | 5 | 8 | ✓ | 65%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Crime | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | 83%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| Investigation | Yes | 0 | 1 | ✗ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | Yes | 0 | 2 | ✗ | 15%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Allah | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Scam | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 46%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 11%n=47 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Posts
counts only; post text is not shownTruth Social posts by @realDonaldTrump, via CNN's public archive · The posts
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-08-30:posts_window · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-08-30:posts_window · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP