Will Donald Trump say “Epic Fury”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Epic Fury” at 17 of 42 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (40%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=42, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Epic Fury
- Probability
- 46% · n=42
- Settled
- 17/42 (40%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…night, 1 in the morning, and then did the rest with Operation Epic Fury, which it was. We may do another little Epic Fury, or…
…nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer, a beautiful operation, and Operation Epic Fury. And we defeated them militarily, financially, and otherwise. And now we're…
As a result of Operation Epic Fury, all 159 ships of their navy are now lying at the bottom of the sea. Likewise, their air…
Every settled listing
newest first · 45 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Epic Fury |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 22, 2026 | Epic Fury |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 6, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Epic Fury | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Epic Fury | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Epic Fury”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Epic Fury” at 17 of 42 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (40%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Epic Fury” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=42). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Epic Fury’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/epic-fury (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=epic%20fury · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP