Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 27, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his remarks to farmers?
Polymarket What will Trump say during National Agriculture Day events on March 27?
Markets
50 words · 25 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 61%n=152 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 60%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 59%n=110 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 56%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 56%n=218 from settlement history | – |
| Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 56%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Iowa | Yes | 56%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Big Beautiful Bill | Yes | 55%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 53%n=133 from settlement history | – |
| Child | Yes | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | Yes | 44%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology | Yes | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Beef | Yes | 43%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Soybean | Yes | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Diesel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| John Deere | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Women's Sports | Yes | 41%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| EPA / Protection Agency | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Farm / Farmer 15+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tractor | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dairy | Yes | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Equipment | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff / Tax 20+ times | Yes | 37%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 36%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Water | Yes | 31%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Green New Scam | No | 64%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | No | 56%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 53%n=125 from settlement history | – |
| China 5+ times | No | 48%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | No | 46%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| EU / European Union | No | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Chicken | No | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 44%n=186 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | No | 43%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Highest Inflation | No | 42%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Jesus | No | 41%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Fertilizer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deficit | No | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Insane | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Price 15+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Invested / Investment | No | 40%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 39%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 39%n=120 from settlement history | – |
| Corn | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Japan | No | 38%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | No | 38%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Auto / Automobile | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 31%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 28%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 7%n=323 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-national-agriculture-day-events-on-march-27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP