Donald Trump: Posts window, Apr 19, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump post this week? (April 13 - April 19)
Coverage
0 known appearancesevery post in the window Window: Apr 13, 2026 to Apr 19, 2026. Counts: post text (reposts excluded; image text counts). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
30 words · 20 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 72%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act / Save Act | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| China / Xi | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=147 from settlement history | – |
| FBI | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ass / Shit | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Poll / Polling | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Charlie / Kirk | Yes | – | 0 | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| AG / Attorney General | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lisa | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Military Operation | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York Times | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| POTUS | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Banned | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| TSA / DHS | Yes | – | 0 | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Hezbollah | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hoax | Yes | – | 0 | 34%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | – | 0 | 29%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Spain | Yes | – | 0 | 27%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Panican | Yes | – | 0 | 20%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Harvard | No | – | 0 | 47%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | No | – | 0 | 42%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Viktor / Orban / Orbán | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epic Fury | No | – | 0 | 38%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat Shutdown | No | – | 0 | 37%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| God Bless America | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | 33%n=102 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid | No | – | 0 | 28%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 25%n=337 from settlement history | – |
| Free Tina Peters | No | – | 0 | 23%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-post-this-week-april-13-april-19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP