Donald Trump: Posts window, Mar 29, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump post this week? (March 23 - March 29)
Coverage
0 known appearancesevery post in the window Window: Mar 23, 2026 to Mar 29, 2026. Counts: post text (reposts excluded; image text counts). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
24 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Peace Through Strength | Yes | – | 0 | 44%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| FBI | Yes | – | 0 | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Congresswoman | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fool | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nasty | No | – | 0 | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Bomb / Bomber | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bully of the Middle East | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Evil Empire | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Free Tina Peters | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump derangement / Trump deranged | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Impeach / Impeachment | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | 0 | 41%n=116 from settlement history | – |
| Boeing | No | – | 0 | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Spain | No | – | 0 | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | – | 0 | 36%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Excursion | No | – | 0 | 35%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Panican | No | – | 0 | 34%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei | No | – | 0 | 33%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat Shutdown | No | – | 0 | 32%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | No | – | 0 | 31%n=20 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-post-this-week-march-23-march-29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP