Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 26, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his Cabinet Meeting?
Markets
29 words · 18 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 69%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 60%n=150 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 58%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | 58%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 57%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 56%n=215 from settlement history | – |
| Deal / Settle | Yes | 53%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 50%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | Yes | 46%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | Yes | 46%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | Yes | 44%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 43%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 39%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | Yes | 36%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | 35%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | 32%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Too Late | Yes | 30%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 24%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | 52%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| TSA | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hottest | No | 45%n=183 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | No | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| LaGuardia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radical Left | No | 41%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| TrumpRX | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 31%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | 28%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 4%n=321 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26MAR26B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP