Donald Trump: Weekly window, Mar 29, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (March 29)
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Mar 23, 2026 to Mar 29, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
32 words · 24 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 75%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 66%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Ass / Shit | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 60%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged / Stolen | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cookie | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=179 from settlement history | – |
| Ballistic Missile | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fun | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Like a Rock | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gay | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Egg | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Tiger | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Death Tax | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| UK / United Kingdom | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Dark cloud | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat Shutdown | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Boeing | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Regime Change | Yes | – | 0 | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 26%n=315 from settlement history | – |
| Peanut | Yes | – | 0 | 26%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Chuck Norris | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eat our Lunch | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Embargo | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ethanol | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kaitlan Collins | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paid a big price / Paying a big price | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Finish the Job | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Khamenei | No | – | 0 | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-march-29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP