Donald Trump: Posts window, Apr 12, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)
Coverage
0 known appearancesevery post in the window Window: Apr 6, 2026 to Apr 12, 2026. Counts: post text (reposts excluded; image text counts). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
23 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | – | 0 | 56%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Peace Through Strength | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Artemis / Orion | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hell | Yes | – | 0 | 38%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Hungary | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| JD / Vance | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | Yes | – | 0 | 30%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 15%n=330 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction / Predicted | No | – | 0 | 59%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Filibuster | No | – | 0 | 57%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Ass / Shit | No | – | 0 | 52%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Pam / Bondi | No | – | 0 | 42%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Peter / Magyar | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Invasion | No | – | 0 | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Paper Tiger | No | – | 0 | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Keir / Starmer | No | – | 0 | 34%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | – | 0 | 33%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | 0 | 31%n=125 from settlement history | – |
| Make Iran Great Again / MIGA | No | – | 0 | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bully of the Middle East | No | – | 0 | 27%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Free Tina Peters | No | – | 0 | 27%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Panican | No | – | 0 | 23%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-post-this-week-april-6-april-12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP