Donald Trump: Posts window, Mar 22, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)
Coverage
0 known appearancesevery post in the window Window: Mar 16, 2026 to Mar 22, 2026. Counts: post text (reposts excluded; image text counts). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
30 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filibuster | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Texas | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Chairman | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Donald Trump | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mutilization | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Strait of Hormuz | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace Through Strength | Yes | – | 0 | 34%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| RINO | Yes | – | 0 | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | – | 0 | 29%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei | Yes | – | 0 | 22%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union | No | – | 0 | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Cornyn | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Death to America | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Illinois | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jake Paul | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lawsuit | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oscar / Oscars | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epic Fury | No | – | 0 | 44%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Hillary / Clinton | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Son | No | – | 0 | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Too Big to Rig | No | – | 0 | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat Shutdown | No | – | 0 | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ass | No | – | 0 | 37%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Claude / Anthropic | No | – | 0 | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hamas / Hezbollah | No | – | 0 | 37%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Mamdani | No | – | 0 | 35%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid | No | – | 0 | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-post-this-week-march-16-march-22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP