Donald Trump: Posts window, Apr 26, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump post this week? (April 20 - April 26)
Coverage
0 known appearancesevery post in the window Window: Apr 20, 2026 to Apr 26, 2026. Counts: post text (reposts excluded; image text counts). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
21 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weaponization / Weaponized / Weaponize | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | – | 0 | 39%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Pope / Leo | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ass | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | – | 0 | 61%n=100 from settlement history | – |
| Trump Derangement Syndrome | No | – | 0 | 53%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| AG / Attorney General | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump Strait / Strait of Trump | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Prize | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| RINO | No | – | 0 | 42%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Art | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Art of the Deal | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Springsteen | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Third Rate / Third-Rate | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC | No | – | 0 | 39%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | No | – | 0 | 34%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | 0 | 29%n=127 from settlement history | – |
| Make Iran Great Again / MIGA | No | – | 0 | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 23%n=342 from settlement history | – |
| Free Tina Peters | No | – | 0 | 22%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-post-this-week-april-21-april-26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP