Will Donald Trump say “Filibuster”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Filibuster” at 10 of 25 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 1, 2026 (40%), most recently on Oct 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=25, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the 8 latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 0 times.

29%from settlement history only · n=25Next: Rally, Oct 23, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=filibuster

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Filibuster

Probability
29% · n=25
Settled
10/25 (40%)
Latest transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 26 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 31, 2026FilibusterKalshiYes0
Oct 22, 2026FilibusterPolymarketNo0
Oct 21, 2026FilibusterPolymarketNo0
Oct 7, 2026FilibusterKalshiNo–
Oct 5, 2026FilibusterKalshiNo–
Oct 3, 2026FilibusterKalshiNo–
Oct 2, 2026FilibusterKalshiNo–
Oct 1, 2026FilibusterKalshiNo–
Sep 30, 2026FilibusterKalshiYes1
Sep 16, 2026FilibusterKalshiNo0
Aug 31, 2026FilibusterKalshiYes2
Aug 21, 2026FilibusterKalshiNo0
Aug 10, 2026FilibusterKalshiNo0
Jul 31, 2026FilibusterPolymarketNo–
Jul 28, 2026FilibusterPolymarketNo–
Apr 30, 2026FilibusterKalshiYes–
Apr 12, 2026FilibusterPolymarketNo0
Apr 5, 2026FilibusterPolymarketYes0
Mar 31, 2026FilibusterPolymarketNo–
Mar 31, 2026FilibusterKalshiYes–
Mar 25, 2026FilibusterPolymarketNo–
Mar 25, 2026FilibusterKalshiNo–
Mar 22, 2026FilibusterPolymarketYes0
Mar 9, 2026FilibusterKalshiYes–
Feb 28, 2026FilibusterPolymarketYes0
Jan 1, 2026FilibusterKalshiYes0

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Filibuster”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Filibuster” at 10 of 25 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 1, 2026 (40%), most recently on Oct 18, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Filibuster” next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=25). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Filibuster’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/filibuster (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=filibuster · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP