Will Donald Trump say “Make Iran Great Again”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Make Iran Great Again” at 1 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (7%), most recently on Mar 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 3¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Make Iran Great Again
- Probability
- 16% · n=15
- Settled
- 1/15 (7%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 15 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again |  Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 8 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (30 of 42 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 11 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (16 of 18 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (25 of 36 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (39 of 53 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (30 of 40 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Make Iran Great Again |  Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Make Iran Great Again”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Make Iran Great Again” at 1 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (7%), most recently on Mar 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Make Iran Great Again” next time?
- 16%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Make Iran Great Again’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/make-iran-great-again (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=make%20iran%20great%20again · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP