Donald Trump: Road to Housing Act signing, Jun 24, 2026
In remarks on Jun 24, 2026, Donald Trump said 0 of the 27 words Kalshi listed.
UpdatedMarkets
27 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran 3+ times | No | 70%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | No | 61%n=90 from settlement history | – |
| First Term | No | 55%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 53%n=164 from settlement history | – |
| Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | No | 53%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 52%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 52%n=123 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 52%n=280 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 50%n=149 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 49%n=105 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 45%n=262 from settlement history | – |
| Pocahontas / Warren | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fannie / Freddie | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Permit / Zoning | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rent / Rental | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Single Family | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 37%n=177 from settlement history | – |
| Veteran | No | 36%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| American Dream | No | 34%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Vandal / Vandalism | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Highest Inflation | No | 32%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Reflecting / Pool | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 29%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 29%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | No | 27%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 26%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 3%n=409 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
Transcript overdue. We expected it from the official transcript (American Presidency Project); it has not appeared yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-24:remarks-road-housing-act · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-24:remarks-road-housing-act · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP