Donald Trump: Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas, Oct 27, 2026
Kalshi and Polymarket listed 50 words for Donald Trump’s rally on Oct 27, 2026; 49 have settled so far, 28 of them Yes. Parrot’s count agreed with 46 of 49 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
50 words · 28 settled yes · our count agreed on 46 of 49- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Yes | 53 | 53 | ✓ | 64%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 15+ times | Yes | 16 | 17 | ✓ | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 5+ times | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 65%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 62%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 3+ times | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 59%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear 3+ times | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 80%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender 7+ times | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✗ | 48%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 5 | 6 | ✓ | 78%n=136 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 18%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 66%n=104 from settlement history | – |
| Ass | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 46%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 68%n=196 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 65%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Age | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 57%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Korea | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 56%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| France | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 46%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 28%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Dividend / Stimulus | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 92%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 66%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 58%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 79%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 71%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Sanctuary | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 51%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 44%n=114 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 27%n=121 from settlement history | – |
| Electricity | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 24%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 19%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 12%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Drug 10+ times | No | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Social Security 5+ times | No | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud 3+ times | No | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 20%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Made in America / American Made | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 63%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 36%n=117 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz / Blockade | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 63%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=105 from settlement history | – |
| SI / Super Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Blockade | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Merit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Space Force | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=277 from settlement history | – |
| Palestine / Palestinian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Trump Account | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 10%n=137 from settlement history | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 6%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 4%n=533 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 3%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Two Percent | open | 2 | 2 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | 100¢ Polymarket |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 28, 2026 14:28 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · RSBN (YouTube auto-captions) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
0 matches for “Terrible / Horrible”.
Where the listed words were said
…over the place all day long. I accepted a shipload of 1 million barrels of oil, a gift from Venezuela, that we give into Texas,…
…I'm president of the United States. I can call you whatever the hell I want. But man, that guy is arrogant. I watch him being…
…to be over. Somebody asked me before, "When will the war in Iran end?" I said, "Whenever I want it to end. be very quick,…
…pay. So, they're all pouring in from Canada, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, China, every place. They're all building here. This should have been done a…
Not even 12. And thanks to my tariffs. The tariffs my favorite word. I always say it, but I had to change it to fifth.…
…and Obama's JCPOA, perhaps the worst deal ever made, or the Iran nuclear deal, as they would call it, which was a road to a…
…into just they want them to be he wants them to be transgender. He considers them fantastic. And you know, I said before, we just…
…Harris. But we had Kamla and she was put in charge by Sleepy Joe Biden of the border. And I spoke to Paul before and…
…strong. And nobody has more energy. And by the way, with the data centers, you know, the data centers are now producing their own electricity…
…he's a worker. I I shouldn't tell this. Should I tell these Supreme Court situation? Should I tell? Come on. He's So, you know, I…
…made the mistake of saying that I started off by studying his ass. I just wanted to sing. And then I looked at his feet…
…at their best and lowest levels ever recorded. And exports, remember Barack Hussein, Obama said, "We will never be a manufacturer. We'll never manufacture." Really?…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-10-27:rally-lubbock-texas · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-10-27:rally-lubbock-texas · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP