Will Donald Trump say “Cheat / Cheater / Cheating”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Cheat / Cheater / Cheating” at 23 of 42 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (55%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=42, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 2 times.

60%from settlement history only · n=42Next: Rally, Oct 23, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=cheat%20%2F%20cheater%20%2F%20cheating

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

Probability
60% · n=42
Settled
23/42 (55%)
Latest transcripts
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

4 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker1:13:42In transcript

…great seniors. They voted against voter ID. Why? Because they want to cheat. They voted against proof of citizenship. Oh, sir, may I please see…

Every match in the transcript

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 42 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 23, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 21, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes4
Oct 20, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 17, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 16, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 14, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 14, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 13, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 12, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 9, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 7, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo–
Oct 5, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 3, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 2, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 1, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Oct 1, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Sep 16, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes0
Aug 24, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Aug 24, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Aug 21, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Aug 10, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Aug 10, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Aug 6, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo–
Aug 6, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Aug 5, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Aug 3, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingPolymarketNo0
Jul 29, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Jul 29, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Jul 28, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Jul 28, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo–
Jul 24, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Jul 4, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Jun 26, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes2
Jun 24, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo–
Jun 11, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Jun 11, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Jun 8, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo0
Apr 20, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Mar 26, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiNo–
Mar 25, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Feb 24, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–
Feb 20, 2026Cheat / Cheater / CheatingKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Cheat / Cheater / Cheating”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Cheat / Cheater / Cheating” at 23 of 42 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (55%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Cheat / Cheater / Cheating” next time?
60%, from settlement history (n=42). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Cheat / Cheater / Cheating’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/cheat-or-cheater-or-cheating (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=cheat%20%2F%20cheater%20%2F%20cheating · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP