Will Donald Trump say “Two Percent”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Donald Trump saying “Two Percent” has settled yet.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

43%base rate for a new wordNext: Rally, Oct 24, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Counts
named speaker only
Market
37¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Two Percent

Probability
43% · prior
Last 8 rallies
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 14:28In transcript

…to do me a very big favor. So when I run, I get 50% more vote. 49.2% more vote. So I'm asking you to pretend

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 27:59In transcript

…than ever before. NATO is doing things that nobody thought they would be able to do, including raising their number to 5% from 2% number.

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Questions

Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Two Percent’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/two-percent (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=two%20percent · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP