Will Donald Trump say “Korea”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Korea” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 24, 2024 (60%), most recently on Oct 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

57%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Korea

Probability
57% · n=5
Settled
3/5 (60%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 39:38In transcript

…coming in from Mexico, they're coming in from Germany and Japan, South Korea. You know, they took our car. They've took 56% of our car…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 10, 2026KoreaPolymarketYes
Mar 19, 2026KoreaKalshiNo
Feb 24, 2026KoreaKalshiYes
Apr 2, 2025KoreaKalshiYes
Oct 24, 2024KoreaPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Korea”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Korea” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 24, 2024 (60%), most recently on Oct 10, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Korea” next time?
57%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Korea’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/korea (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=korea · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP