Donald Trump: Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas, Oct 27, 2026
Kalshi and Polymarket listed 50 words for Donald Trump’s rally on Oct 27, 2026; 14 have settled so far, 7 of them Yes. Parrot’s count agreed with 13 of 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
50 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Yes | 53 | 53 | ✓ | 64%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 15+ times | Yes | 16 | 17 | ✓ | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender 7+ times | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✗ | 48%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 18%n=36 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Ass | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 46%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Korea | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 56%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 19%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Drug 10+ times | No | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hormuz / Blockade | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 63%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=35 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| SI / Super Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Merit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=277 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 3%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 5+ times | open | 11 | 11 | – | 65%n=37 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| China / Chinese | open | 9 | 9 | – | 62%n=103 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff 3+ times | open | 9 | 9 | – | 59%n=15 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Nuclear 3+ times | open | 6 | 6 | – | 80%n=18 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Sleepy Joe | open | 5 | 6 | – | 78%n=136 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Supreme Court | open | 4 | 4 | – | 66%n=104 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Barack Hussein Obama | open | 3 | 3 | – | 68%n=196 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | open | 3 | 3 | – | 65%n=44 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Golden Age | open | 3 | 3 | – | 57%n=30 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| France | open | 3 | 3 | – | 46%n=5 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Windmill | open | 3 | 3 | – | 28%n=75 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Dividend / Stimulus | open | 2 | 2 | – | 92%n=43 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Canada / Canadian | open | 2 | 2 | – | 66%n=14 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Kamala | open | 2 | 2 | – | 58%n=71 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Two Percent | open | 2 | 2 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | 76¢ Polymarket |
| Social Security 5+ times | open | 2 | 2 | – | 35%n=4 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Fraud 3+ times | open | 2 | 2 | – | 20%n=15 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Save America Act | open | 1 | 1 | – | 79%n=83 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| ICE | open | 1 | 1 | – | 71%n=51 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Made in America / American Made | open | 1 | 1 | – | 63%n=29 from settlement history | 10¢ Kalshi |
| Sanctuary | open | 1 | 1 | – | 51%n=23 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| America First | open | 1 | 1 | – | 44%n=114 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Israel / Israeli | open | 1 | 1 | – | 36%n=117 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Drill Baby Drill | open | 1 | 1 | – | 27%n=121 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Electricity | open | 1 | 1 | – | 24%n=8 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | open | 1 | 1 | – | 12%n=23 from settlement history | 100¢ Kalshi |
| Gulf of America | open | 0 | 0 | – | 53%n=51 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Hormuz | open | 0 | 0 | – | 52%n=105 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Blockade | open | 0 | 0 | – | 47%n=42 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Space Force | open | 0 | 0 | – | 38%n=41 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Palestine / Palestinian | open | 0 | 0 | – | 22%n=23 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Fentanyl | open | 0 | 0 | – | 17%n=71 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Trump Account | open | 0 | 0 | – | 12%n=31 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Ceasefire | open | 0 | 0 | – | 10%n=137 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Peace in the Middle East | open | 0 | 0 | – | 6%n=60 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | open | 0 | 0 | – | 4%n=533 from settlement history | 0¢ Kalshi |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 26, 2026 23:00 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · RSBN (YouTube auto-captions) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
6 matches for “Japan”; 3 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…any tariffs to pay. So, they're all pouring in from Canada, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, China, every place. They're all building here. This should have…
…the car is made in America. We're not interested in We love Japan very much. We're not interested. Now, if Japan wants to build its…
…do, but here's the thing. We don't want you going to China, Japan, South Korea. We certainly don't want you going to France. How about…
Where the listed words were said
…over the place all day long. I accepted a shipload of 1 million barrels of oil, a gift from Venezuela, that we give into Texas,…
…I'm president of the United States. I can call you whatever the hell I want. But man, that guy is arrogant. I watch him being…
…into just they want them to be he wants them to be transgender. He considers them fantastic. And you know, I said before, we just…
…strong. And nobody has more energy. And by the way, with the data centers, you know, the data centers are now producing their own electricity…
…made the mistake of saying that I started off by studying his ass. I just wanted to sing. And then I looked at his feet…
…he's a pro. He knows how to make money. And we made a deal with South Korea. $250 billion. Right. I was going 300, sir.
…for Joselyn. And since I took office, we've rounded up, arrested, and deported thousands and thousands of trend deagra got them from all across our…
…to be over. Somebody asked me before, "When will the war in Iran end?" I said, "Whenever I want it to end. be very quick,…
…60 of it in Texas. Apple, they always made their product in China, right? They made everything in China. No, they're investing 600 billion in…
Not even 12. And thanks to my tariffs. The tariffs my favorite word. I always say it, but I had to change it to fifth.…
…and Obama's JCPOA, perhaps the worst deal ever made, or the Iran nuclear deal, as they would call it, which was a road to a…
…Harris. But we had Kamla and she was put in charge by Sleepy Joe Biden of the border. And I spoke to Paul before and…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-10-27:rally-lubbock-texas · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-10-27:rally-lubbock-texas · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP