Remarks transcript, Jun 5, 2026 (Donald Trump)

Remarks in a Roundtable Discussion on Agriculture in Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin

In remarks on Jun 5, 2026, Donald Trump said 38 of the 62 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 53 of 54 checked settlements. Full transcript below (presidency.ucsb.edu, public domain).

Updated

Markets

62 words · 38 settled yes · our count agreed on 53 of 54

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ timesYes2631✓54%n=3 from settlement history–
Job 20+ timesYes2122✓55%n=6 from settlement history–
Percent 13+ timesYes1922✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Border 7+ timesYes1214✓51%n=4 from settlement history–
Egg Yes1212✓47%n=28 from settlement history–
Election Yes99✓59%n=98 from settlement history–
Democrat Yes99✓55%n=151 from settlement history–
Hell 7+ timesYes99✓41%n=4 from settlement history–
Child Yes77✓55%n=4 from settlement history–
First Term Yes66✓59%n=13 from settlement history–
Biden Yes67✓53%n=261 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes66✓40%n=42 from settlement history–
Death Tax Yes66✓38%n=4 from settlement history–
Fertilizer Yes68✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
China / Chinese Yes55✓71%n=8 from settlement history–
Iran / Iranian Yes55✓65%n=16 from settlement history–
Iran 5+ timesYes55✓57%n=7 from settlement history–
Brooke / Rollins Yes510✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Tariff Yes22✓54%n=184 from settlement history–
Hottest Yes22✓47%n=244 from settlement history–
President Xi Yes22✓41%n=28 from settlement history–
Soybean Yes22✓37%n=10 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes22✓35%n=158 from settlement history–
Invested / Investment Yes22✓32%n=34 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes22✓30%n=29 from settlement history–
Fake News Yes11✓58%n=109 from settlement history–
Big Beautiful Bill Yes13✓55%n=44 from settlement history–
Iowa Yes11✓55%n=6 from settlement history–
Landslide Yes11✓51%n=15 from settlement history–
Drug Yes11✓49%n=30 from settlement history–
Diesel Yes11✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Fuel Yes12✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Transgender Yes11✓44%n=135 from settlement history–
40 or above Yes00–––
45 or above Yes00–––
50 or above Yes00–––
55 or above Yes00–––
60 or above Yes00–––
Iran No55✗49%n=109 from settlement history–
Nuclear 3+ timesNo22✓62%n=8 from settlement history–
Tariff 5+ timesNo22✓31%n=16 from settlement history–
Healthcare No02✓51%n=31 from settlement history–
MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology No00✓48%n=4 from settlement history–
Beef No05✓47%n=12 from settlement history–
Fraud No00✓43%n=33 from settlement history–
Regulation No00✓40%n=2 from settlement history–
Swing State No00✓38%n=2 from settlement history–
Bibi / Netanyahu No00✓38%n=37 from settlement history–
Surplus No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Windmill No00✓37%n=44 from settlement history–
Corn No02✓37%n=3 from settlement history–
Scam No00✓36%n=4 from settlement history–
Immigration No00✓36%n=8 from settlement history–
Economy No00✓35%n=34 from settlement history–
Pig No00✓35%n=2 from settlement history–
UFC No00✓34%n=29 from settlement history–
Six Seven No00✓34%n=33 from settlement history–
MAHA / Make America Healthy Again No01✓32%n=14 from settlement history–
Crypto / Bitcoin No00✓7%n=386 from settlement history–
65 or above No00–––
70 or above No00–––
75 or above No00–––

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

285 passages · part 2 of 2

Official transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Public domain (US government work): full text.

Prepared remarks

Perhaps most importantly, with our historic trade deals, I've dramatically expanded exports of American meat, poultry, soybeans, biofuels, and of course, Wisconsin dairy, the best. Right?

And I just see that dairy exports have surged nearly $1.2 billion under our leadership. And just in—and this is with a conflict going on. Remember what I said. Ken, when this conflict ends, you're going to see things that you've never seen before, because we are ready to rock. We've never been—we've never had this kind of investment coming into our country. Nobody else has either. Nobody has ever had anywhere near—not even near—including China—nobody has had this kind of investment coming into a country.

So increasing 41 percent to Japan. You've increased your sales 41 percent to Japan, 48 percent to the Middle East, 61 percent to European Union, 63 percent to South Asia, and 85 percent to Australia. So you're doing pretty well. You're going to see it, and you're going to see it a lot better in about 3 months from now.

I also signed something that you may or may not like. I don't know, I—sounded good to me. It didn't sound very bad to me, but people love it. I also signed the Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act. You know what that means?

That was—that was another one I had a big signing at the White House. We had some people that have been fighting for that for years. I said—I called Ron. I said, "Ron, what's the fight for?" [ Laughter ] I mean, it just sounds good. And it's just better, it's healthy, and I like it. I drank it. I don't know, it gets harder to get it. Now we have it so that, you know, it's totally opened up now for the kids, and it's great for anybody.

And now we're working with Congress to quickly pass the new farm bill. We're very well into—we've got some great approvals, the hardest approvals. And I think we're very well on our way to getting the farm bill finished and approved.

And just to finish up, with the help of the farmers, like those here, today we're also helping bring down grocery prices for hard-working Americans. And they're coming down very rapidly.

Remember, I inherited these prices. I didn't start—my prices were great. They rigged the election. When I turned—the election was totally rigged. It was a rigged—just like they're rigging the election right now, it looks like, in California.

Can you imagine? It's 4 days and they still aren't even close to telling you who won. You know why? Because they're rigging the election. That's why. Four days.

You know, in Spain, they had it—like, I'm not a big fan of Spain, to be honest with you. He's gone very far left. But they had an election. All the votes were in, similar size to the State of California—little larger, actually—and every vote was in by 10 o'clock in the evening and counted.

You're going to be waiting weeks to get these votes. It's corrupt. Somebody said it's incompetent. I said "No, just the opposite." It's unbelievably competent if you happen to be a Democrat politician. Because with their policies, the only way they can get elected is to cheat.

And when you look at an election, not even relatively a big election, for one State—for one city, for Los Angeles, they're nowhere close to counting the votes. But you look at what's happening. It's getting tighter and tighter and tighter, and the people that were supposed to win, bad things are happening. It's a crooked State. We have crooked third-world elections in a lot of our States. And we should pass our SAVE America Act. Amazing.

And that will—really stop it too. That will stop it. You know, that's where you have voter ID. It's where you have birth of—you know, your citizenship. You have to prove your citizenship. I think that sounds good. And also, you know, I added a couple in there. Also, the—ballots, the voting, the mail-in ballots, so crooked. They send millions of ballots out all over the place. If you're a Democrat, sometimes you get six or seven. If you're a Republican, you have to call up, "Where are my ballots?" It's such a crooked deal. We're third-world country.

But I added two things: No men playing in women's sports. I—and this is, like, "best of." No transgender mutilization surgery on your child, on your children. None. So we added them in.

So we inherited very high costs, and we're getting them down. They're coming down very rapidly. And when fuel comes down, they're really going to come down.

And I just want to say it's an honor to be here. We have Senator Ron Johnson. We have Congressman Tom Tiffany. We have Congressman Derrick Van Orden. We have Hall of Fame offensive lineman Joe Thomas—oh, that's—look at the size of this guy. [ Laughter ] Boy, oh, boy. So you're a hall of fame? Did anybody get by you?

Mr. Thomas44:51

Nobody. [ Laughter ]

Huh?

Mr. Thomas44:54

Nobody.

He's a good-looking man.

That's great, Joe. It's great to know you. Really good. Great career too. I know who you are.

Former president of Leinenkugel Brewing Company, Jake Leinenkugel. Thank you, Jake.

The owner here of Custer Farms, and he's a great guy. I think I can almost call him a friend. We had a great time back there. And a wonderful family. Ken, thank you very much. Good.

And a fantastic dairy farmer, Jamie Witcpalek. Where is Jamie? Jamie. Hi, Jamie. Thank you.

And finally, two-time gold medal winner in speed skating in this year's Winter Olympics, Jordan Stolz. Where the hell is Jordan?

Whoa. Whoa. That's pretty good. Whoa. Stand up. Stand up.

Yes!

Audience members46:14

U.S.A.! U.S.A.! U.S.A.!

I'm keeping it. I'm keeping it, Jordan. I'm not giving it back. I'm a very good guy for keeping gold. I like gold. I'm going to—I'm never giving this back. Congratulations.

I forgot to touch his leg. I didn't want to do that. [ Laughter ] But I can tell you one thing: His leg is like a rock. That's—two gold medals. Wow, that's big stuff. Thank you. It's an honor.

And speaking for my other athlete up here, I—that's pretty good, right? Two.

Mr. Thomas46:49

Really good.

And you go through a big competition with a lot of great athletes, right? Are you going to be doing it again? Another Olympics?

Mr. Stolz46:56

I plan to be doing it until 2030, as long as I can.

Yes.

Mr. Stolz46:59

Until Salt Lake City in 2034.

Well, we'll be watching.

Mr. Stolz47:01

So that will be on home soil.

We're going to be watching, okay? You can do it again. Okay? Right.

So, if—we'll go in order, if I can, and we'll start with Brooke Rollins, then go to Ron Johnson and Tom Tiffany and Derrick and Joe Thomas. We'd love to have you say a few words, because you can tell us about real tough life, and it's tough in those pits, right? Pretty nasty people in there. You meet some large, nasty people, but you can handle it.

And, Jake, we're going to ask you to say a few words, if you would. And Ken and—we'll go pretty quickly, because I have to get back to fighting a war in Iran.

This is a hell of a speaker's list. We might be here all night.

You know, if we can, fellas, I've got to get back to a place called Washington—and protect you. Okay? So, if you go very quickly. We don't need your life story, other than I like the Olympic guy, and I like this guy right over here. [ Laughter ]

And, Jordan Stolz, would like to have you say a couple of words, too. Okay?

Hey, Jordan, why don't you start? Go ahead.

Mr. Stolz48:08

Well, first, I want to thank you to all the farmers who are here, and I don't think people really understand how much you guys make a difference in the country. I mean, you guys are the backbone of the nation. And for me, myself, personally, I try and eat as clean as possible, and, you know, a lot of steak, a lot of dairy, and you know, you guys are the backbone of Wisconsin.

So I just want to say thank you to all the farmers and everybody who could make it here today, and, of course, to the President.

That's great. Thank you, Jordan.

That's a winner. Tough to win like that. That's a very tough—when you're dealing with fractions of a second, that's a tough thing to do. Congratulations.

Secretary, if you would. Go quickly. Thank you.

Secretary of Agriculture Brooke L. Rollins48:51

Very quickly. How about a big thank you to God for the rain and the farmers and for President Donald J. Trump?

President Trump mentioned that when he came back into office, we inherited an almost $50 billion agricultural trade deficit, meaning, under Sleepy Joe Biden, not one new trade deal was struck, and we lost $50 billion of market access around the world for you, our great farmers.

But in just a little over 1 year, 19 new trade deals have been struck. The markets have opened around the world. We are going to break every record for dairy, for tree nuts, for corn, for ethanol as we move the American farmers' product—the best in the world—back out to the rest of the world, while, at the same time, inheriting inputs that had never been so high in the history of our country, whether that was fuel, fertilizer, labor, interest rates, seed—one after the other. And those numbers all were coming down significantly, and, as the President promised, will soon come down very soon again.

Sir, there is no better American than the most American of all Americans, and that is our great American farmer.

God bless you. Thank you so much, sir.

Ron Johnson, please.

Senator Ronald H. Johnson50:27

Mr. President, welcome to Wisconsin again. You certainly have paid a lot of attention to our State, and we truly appreciate it.

You know, like you, I met with these great farmers backstage, and you nailed it. They love farming. This right now is a third-generation farm, hopefully pass on to fourth, but they face numerous challenges.

But what I thought was very common in all the comments speaking to me is they realize that you are going to fight for them.

You have turned the Republican Party into the party of the working men and—men and women of this country who have made this country great and who will continue to make it great, and they recognize that.

So they know the big messes the "Dumocrats" left for you. They realize you don't turn those messes around and fix them right away, but they know you are absolutely dedicated to do it, and they love you for it.

So God bless you.

Thank you.

So your next Governor—hopefully, your next Governor, Tom Tiffany.

Please, Tom.

Representative Tom Tiffany51:36

Mr. President, where we sit here today, I grew up about 30 miles from here on a dairy farm, milking cows with my brothers and sisters. I want to thank you for signing that bill, Whole Milk for Healthy Kids. There is no reason kids can't have whole milk in our schools.

I agree.

Rep. Tiffany51:52

Thank you very much for that.

And I also want to thank you, and I want to thank the Secretary of Agriculture, because you've stood up for forestry. We are now, once again, managing our forests here in America that have been left in decline for three decades. You are doing good things on that front.

And the final thing that I want to say to you: That gentleman to your right was the impetus 6 years ago, when I came into the Congress of the United States, showing what a disaster it was to convert our beautiful, productive farmland in Wisconsin and across America into intermittent sources of power like wind and solar.

He was the impetus behind me talking to you about that. Remember July 2d last year when we had that meeting in the White House? This is what we talked about, and it has led to higher utility rates, and it has led to the destruction of our farmland. We're not going to allow that to happen here in the State of Wisconsin.

Right. He's right about that. He's right about that.

Derrick, please.

Rep. Van Orden53:04

Mr. President, yesterday we got to spend about an hour and a half in the Oval Office, and you announced the $50 million that you are sending to the State of Wisconsin for clean, beautiful coal. Thank you for that.

Mr. President, you signed a $50 billion rural health care infrastructure bill. Of that, over $200 million is coming to the State of Wisconsin to make sure that we have health care in our rural areas. Thank you for that, sir.

You signed Whole Milk for Healthy Kids into law, sir. You just reopened every single domestic market in our schools, and that is amazing for the MAHA movement, for our kids, and for our dairy farmers. Thank you for that, sir.

Thank you very much.

Rep. Van Orden53:56

Last thing: E15. We were bugging you—and this is the thing about the President you don't know: You call him, he answers the phone, and he understands these issues inside and out. So—and he was sort of joking about us talking about E15, sir. You took that on board hard.

The only reason that E15 year-round got through the Congress is because of Donald J. Trump, and that did so much for our row croppers, sir.

Thank you very much. And welcome back to your second home.

Thank you.

So Joe—great, great football player. I would tell you, one of the truly greats. Hall of Famer. Thank you.

Mr. Thomas54:37

Thanks, Mr. President. Joe Thomas, Hall of Fame Farms, Muscoda, Wisconsin. You should come visit. It's beautiful.

I got to pump Secretary Rollins's tires a little bit for the Small Processors Action Plan, because as a farm-to-table beef producer like myself, we see one of the biggest bottlenecks in our country is the lack of small packing and processing plants for people like me that are trying to raise farm-to-table beef, Wagyu and Angus, and be able to feed our community. And she's doing great work with that new mission to be able to help us be able to feed our communities and not have to rely on trying to get into the big four packers, which is often impossible and leads to higher costs for the customer and less money and revenue for the farmer and the producer.

So thank you very much, Mr. President. And thank you, Secretary Rollins, for all the work you're doing for us small beef producers.

On, Wisconsin.

So, Joe—he played a long time in the NFL; he's a hall of famer. Who is the greatest quarterback you've ever seen?

Mr. Thomas55:42

Oh, that's a tough one. Is anybody listening here? Because Brady and Manning were pretty good, and I'd have a hard time picking between either one of those guys.

Okay.

And who is the greatest running back you've ever seen?

Mr. Thomas55:53

I never got to see him in person, but Jim Brown or Barry Sanders are my two.

Okay, good. For football fans. You know, got to keep it—that's good. Thank you very much.

Please, Jake. Thank you very much.

Leinenkugel Brewing owner T. Jacob Leinenkugel56:08

Mr. President, thank you very much for coming to Wisconsin. As we all said, I want to just say: Without the American farmers, we as a company would not be able to brew beer. In fact, out of all the thousands of breweries across America, you supply the most important ingredients here in the U.S.A.: barley, malt, wheat, and we use some corn. But thank you all. And really appreciate the—time, Mr. President. Thank you much.

Thank you, Jake. Thank you.

Ken, please.

Mr. Custer56:54

First off, Mr.—first off, Mr. President, it's an honor and a blessing to have you here. We are—there isn't a——

——and the sound on the roof is a blessing. We American farmers risk a lot and count on God's blessing, and our forefathers in this country understood that. That's what makes us great, is God's blessing.

And I thank you for being who you are, the integrity that you hold, doing what you say you're going to do. You make the right decisions for America. They aren't popular. Thank you.

Thank you.

Mr. Custer57:37

And we as farmers have lost—as Secretary Rollins talked—a tremendous amount of our trade, and that's all we need, is we can compete with anybody in the world. We need—we need fair trade.

Yes. We lost a lot during that last administration. We're bringing it back. We're bringing it back.

Jamie, please. Please. Thank you.

Pagel Family Business owner Jamie Witcpalek58:06

Thank you, Mr. President. So, I want to say, as a dairy farmer and a mom——

I don't know why it's doing that.

Go a little bit further back?

As a dairy farmer and a mom, I see how important it is for these policies to put in place, not only for the families that are growing the food but for the people who are consuming it every day.

I was so excited to witness the signing of the Whole Milk Healthy Kids Act. I didn't even know what to think because, in reality, it was common sense to me why we don't have those options for our children in the schools.

Whole milk provides essential nutrients that our kids need for bone growth, muscle growth, and brain development. So I was really excited to be part of that. And as our dad always said: "Drink milk. It does a body good." That still stands true to this day.

So thank you, President Trump and Senator Rollins.

Thank you, Jamie. Thank you. Thank you.

And Steve.

Rooney Grain LLC owner and Precision Pipeline LLC Chairman Steven Rooney59:16

First of all, thank you for coming to Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin, and hearing us out here. Really appreciate that. And as I sit here and represent the farmers of this State and the farmers of America, I think we've all experienced some tough times here in the last 4 or 5 years. And—listening to what you guys are saying, I'm very hopeful for some better times coming.

And you know, some of the stuff that we see and talk about that—that really affects us is the monopolization of the—inputs. You know, there's—at this point, there's four seed and chemical companies in the country that—control 78 percent of that, three fertilizers control 90 percent of the market, and four beef companies control 85 percent of the beef market.

That makes it really tough for us when—when things are good, you know, our—inputs just rise with the commodity prices, so we'd like some help on that.

On another note, the "Big Beautiful Bill" is a real win for us, and we really appreciate what you've done with that. It's lowered our tax rates. It's given us the ability to pass these farms on to the next generation. You strengthened the crop insurance.

You know, I think that all that stuff—and—another thing that I want to mention is the border deal. We feel really blessed to have the control you've put in place on the border.

And other than that, I think you've done a great job.

I'd like to add one more thing. We're in the pipeline construction business, and I was sharing with Secretary Rollins there that, you know, we were a 8,000-person company under your first administration, and we went down to twelve to fifteen hundred people now. And it's just starting its way back up.

And we're in the middle of negotiations on a big project in Alaska called Glenfarne that I think you're very aware of, and we're in the final stretches of that. So I know that's not farm related, but if there's any help we could get out of you guys for—that, I think that's a real big piece for our energy security of this country.

And that's all I have. Thank you.

Which we'll take—we'll take care of it.

You all right? Anybody else?

Mr. Custer1:01:53

I'm not sure if Mr. Peterson will say——

Would you like to say something, Congressman?

Mr. Custer1:02:00

A couple others. Denny Hawkins.

Peterson Family Farms owner Brad Peterson1:02:04

Thank you. Thank you very much for, like he said, the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" that was—those tax credits that the—a lot of the stuff that supports the American agriculture through the trade side as well. We've got—fair trade has been a challenge in America lately, and we need to get what we deserve for our products. And I thank you for putting in the efforts and doing the work and getting—you know, we'd rather have fair trade than the subsidies, like previously mentioned.

E15, some of that stuff is great. Energy independence. On our farm, we actually have a co-digester where we take food waste and the cow manure and make methane. And I think some of that can also help increase local energy independence and keep some of our food that we all work so hard to produce from going in landfills.

So thank you. Thank you very much. And thank you for being frugal with our tax dollars on repairing Washington.

Good. That's right. Thank you.

So I just want to thank everybody. This was great. You're amazing people. You built this country. You built the country. We have all the complainers—all the people, they talk, talk, talk; they don't do anything. You're the ones that made America great, and we're making it greater than ever before. We have "Make America Great Again," but we're now making it greater than ever before.

So I just want to thank you all. It's an honor to be with you.

We're straightening out a little unfinished business in Iran and a couple of other places. Tremendous success that we had in Venezuela. As you know, we're doing amazing oil business there right now, and it's been incredible.

But I just want to thank everybody for being here. Special. And I want to thank you, really, for your support. We won in a landslide, and I just want to thank you for your support.

Thank you all. And, Ken, thank you very much.

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