Will Donald Trump say “40 or above”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Donald Trump saying “40 or above” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
40 or above
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of broken, you know, it was like a round knob with about 40 knocks in it. You know, it's been through the mill. Looks like…
…I don't happen to be a senior. No. I'm I'm in my 40s. I I feel the same way, but I don't know. I hope…
…And he would fight guys he would fight guys that are 30, 40, 50 pounds, right, Evander? And he would beat the hell out of…
…the task force. He put the vice president in charge to sit above the entire rest of the government and direct the government's actions on…
…know we were walking through mud for a long time. For about 40 years, they've been walking through mud, but not any longer. So it's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 15 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | 40 or above |  Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| May 23, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘40 or above’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/40-or-above (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=40%20%2F%20above · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP