Will Donald Trump say “Invested / Investment”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Invested / Investment” at 16 of 35 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 3, 2025 (46%), most recently on Jun 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=35, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
Invested / Investment
- Probability
- 38% · n=35
- Settled
- 16/35 (46%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…less than two years, we secured commitments for $22.2 trillion of new investment into the United States of America. The greatest amount of money ever…
…than two years, we secured commitments for 22.2 trillion dollars of new investments into the United States of America. The greatest amount of money ever…
…less than two years we secured commitments for $22.2 trillion of new investments into the United States of America. the greatest amount by far ever…
…the hottest country anywhere in the world. We made the largest ever investment in the US armed forces, Joanie, and $1 trillion all made in…
…That'll be But we secured commitments for 22.2 trillion dollars in new investments coming into the United States. It's the greatest, the largest amount of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 35 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Invested / Investment | Yes | 2 | |
| May 14, 2026 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| May 14, 2026 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| May 12, 2026 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| May 4, 2026 | Invested / Investment | Yes | – | |
| May 1, 2026 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – | |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Invested / Investment | No | – | |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Invested / Investment | No | – | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Invested / Investment | No | – | |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – | |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Invested / Investment | No | – | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – | |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Invested / Investment | Yes | – | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Invested / Investment | Yes | – | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Invested / Investment | Yes | – | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – | |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – | |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Investment / Invested | No | – | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Investment / Invested | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Invested / Investment”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Invested / Investment” at 16 of 35 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 3, 2025 (46%), most recently on Jun 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Invested / Investment” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=35). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Invested / Investment’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/invested-or-investment (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=invested%20%2F%20investment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP