Will Donald Trump say “Corn”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Corn” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 3, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 97¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Corn
- Probability
- 46% · n=8
- Settled
- 4/8 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Corn |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (5 of 31 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Corn |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Corn | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Corn | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Corn | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Corn | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Corn | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Corn | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Corn | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Corn | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Corn”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Corn” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 3, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Corn” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Corn’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/corn (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=corn · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP