Will Donald Trump say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 82 of 130 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 29, 2025 (63%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=130, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.

53%from settlement history only · n=130counts: named speaker only
Last 10
9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability
53% · n=130
Settled
82/130 (63%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker1:34:32In transcript

…one state sponsor of terror. As soon as that war is over, oil is going to drop like a rock. And that's the only thing…

Every match in the transcript

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketNo0
Oct 21, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo0
Oct 20, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes2
Oct 17, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 16, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 15, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 13, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 9, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 7, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 7, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 5, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 3, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 2, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes–
Oct 2, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 1, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes–
Oct 1, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Oct 1, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Sep 30, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes–
Sep 30, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Sep 30, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Sep 29, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes–
Sep 29, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Sep 28, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes–
Sep 28, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Sep 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketNo–
Sep 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketNo–
Sep 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Sep 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Sep 22, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 22, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 22, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes7
Sep 21, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketNo–
Sep 21, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Sep 18, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Sep 17, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes2
Sep 17, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo0
Sep 17, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Sep 17, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes2
Sep 16, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 12, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes19
Sep 12, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes3
Sep 12, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes19
Sep 12, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes3
Sep 11, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Sep 10, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketNo0
Sep 10, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo0
Sep 10, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Sep 10, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes4
Sep 9, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes21
Sep 8, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo0
Sep 3, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Aug 31, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Aug 30, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Aug 28, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketNo0
Aug 28, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo0
Aug 25, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Aug 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes1
Aug 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 82 of 130 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 29, 2025 (63%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
53%, from settlement history (n=130). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP