Will Donald Trump say “Economy”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Economy” at 15 of 36 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 5, 2025 (42%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=36, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Economy
- Probability
- 36% · n=36
- Settled
- 15/36 (42%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
families, lower taxes, less crime, a booming Georgia economy. It's going to boom like never before. With these two people, it's going to boom like…
…on them. You know, they have the worst it's called the worst economy anywhere in the world. And they have the highest Scott they have…
…bigger paychecks for your families, lower taxes, less crime, a booming Iowa economy, and no amnesty for your illegal aliens. You must vote to get…
…these refugees and foreign scammers, or cybercrime, where you have entire foreign economies that are propped up on stealing from American seniors. What you're saying…
best economy in our first term that they had ever had, but this is going to blow it away. This will be the best ever.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 36 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Economy |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Economy |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 25, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Economy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Economy”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Economy” at 15 of 36 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 5, 2025 (42%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Economy” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=36). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Economy’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/economy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=economy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP