Will Donald Trump say “50 or above”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Donald Trump saying “50 or above” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
50 or above
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…would, now every time I'm on the ball, we do 49 to 50% more people come out and they're all going to vote for us.…
…to do me a very big favor. So when I run, I get 50% more vote. 49.2% more vote. So I'm asking you to pretend
…he would fight guys he would fight guys that are 30, 40, 50 pounds, right, Evander? And he would beat the hell out of them.…
…the task force. He put the vice president in charge to sit above the entire rest of the government and direct the government's actions on…
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | 50 or above |  Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| May 23, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘50 or above’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/50-or-above (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=50%20%2F%20above · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP