Will Donald Trump say “45 or above”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Donald Trump saying “45 or above” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
45 or above
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…could never find the stairs. You had to see. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Yeah. And you could always jump off the front…
…you have some very good people back there. I'd say, you know, four, five, six% are serious. They're serious. But my wife uh said to…
…the task force. He put the vice president in charge to sit above the entire rest of the government and direct the government's actions on…
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | 45 or above |  Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| May 23, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘45 or above’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/45-or-above (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=45%20%2F%20above · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP