Will Donald Trump say “Olympic / Olympics”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Olympic / Olympics” at 23 of 44 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (52%), most recently on Aug 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=44, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
47%from settlement history only · n=44counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Olympic / Olympics
- Probability
- 47% · n=44
- Settled
- 23/44 (52%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Now, here's the good news. No men in women's sports. We we've told the Olympics, "No, we cannot do that. We can't have that." And
…said there's a little wrinkle in there, but it's one because the Olympic Committee said we won't have the Olympics if you have to do…
Every settled listing
newest first · 46 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics |  Kalshi | Yes | 13 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 11, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 11, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 8, 2026 | Olympics / Olympic | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Olympics | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Olympics | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Olympics | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (1 of 1 known appearance transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Olympics | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Olympic | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Olympics | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Olympics | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Olympics | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Olympics | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Olympics | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Olympics | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Olympics | Kalshi | No | – |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Olympic / Olympics | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Olympic | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Olympic / Olympics | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Olympic | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Olympic | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Olympic / Olympics”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Olympic / Olympics” at 23 of 44 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (52%), most recently on Aug 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Olympic / Olympics” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=44). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Olympic / Olympics’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/olympic (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=olympic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP