Donald Trump: Interview, Feb 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his sports interview?
Markets
19 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 70%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 59%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Saban | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kickoff | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | No | 64%n=184 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 55%n=127 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 51%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | No | 49%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | No | 47%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Hockey | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Miami / Florida | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Army / Navy | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Playoff / Tournament | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bowl | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Graduate / Graduating | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Heisman | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NIL | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 33%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Bad Bunny | No | 18%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP