Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 7, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his saving College Sports Roundtable?
Markets
31 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 58%n=94 from settlement history | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | Yes | 50%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 48%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Golf / Golfing | Yes | 43%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 42%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Freshman | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transfer / Transfers / Transferred | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scholarship | Yes | 39%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| NIL | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NFL / NBA | Yes | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 68%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 63%n=134 from settlement history | – |
| Soccer | No | 59%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 58%n=195 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 54%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 52%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 52%n=160 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 50%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | No | 47%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 47%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Kickoff | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hockey | No | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Roll Tide | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Graduate / Graduated / Graduating | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Heisman | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Playoff | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hormuz | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba | No | 33%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 30%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=295 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26MAR07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP