Donald Trump: Remarks, May 11, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during remarks with National Football Champions?
Markets
22 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | Yes | 53%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Oval Office | Yes | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Job 7+ times | Yes | 46%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Radical / Left | Yes | 41%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Judge / Court | Yes | 40%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Hot / Hottest | Yes | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fantastic / Incredible / Tremendous 8+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Football 8+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Match / Game | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Run / Running | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coach 15+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Good Looking | Yes | 30%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| 401(k) / Dow | No | 53%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| 250 / 250th | No | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | No | 49%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 49%n=115 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 48%n=245 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | No | 44%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| America / American 6+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC | No | 37%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 2+ times | No | 34%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 31%n=20 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-remarks-with-national-football-champions · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP