Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 6, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during the Inter Miami CF visit?
Polymarket What will Trump say during the College Football Roundtable on March 6?
Markets
46 words · 23 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 62%n=133 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 60%n=93 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 52%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Soccer | Yes | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 51%n=159 from settlement history | – |
| Gas / Gasoline / Oil | Yes | 48%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Futbol / Football | Yes | 48%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | Yes | 48%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Pelé | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran | Yes | 46%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Hockey / Miracle | Yes | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | Yes | 45%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 8+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | Yes | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Greatest | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NCAA / NC Double A | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| RICE / SCORE Act | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Salary cap | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Yes | 37%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 37%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Scholarship | Yes | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Women's Sports / Women Sports | Yes | 36%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Ronaldo | Yes | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 71%n=76 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 59%n=194 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 59%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Good Looking | No | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Job 10+ times | No | 47%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tiger | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Beckham | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Macro / Hegseth | No | 41%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Roll Tide | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alabama | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Campaign / Campaigned | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NBA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Market / 401 k | No | 38%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| GOAT / Greatest Of All Time | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gold / Silver | No | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Barron | No | 35%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 32%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 2+ times | No | 30%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | 24%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | No | 15%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=294 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26MAR06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP