Donald Trump: Monthly window, Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say in April?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Apr 1, 2026 to Apr 30, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
41 words · 20 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gay | Yes | – | 0 | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mar-a-Lago | Yes | – | 0 | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of Trump | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crooked | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Our great First Lady | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Maduro | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Disgusting | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MVP | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Operation Epic Fury | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Reverse Migration | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Two Genders | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| United States Armed Forces | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sovereign / Sovereignty | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Jesus | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Kim Jong Un | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomeini | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Dog | Yes | – | 0 | 42%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator / Discombobulated | Yes | – | 0 | 34%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Braggadocious | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cocktail | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dead by June | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peacefully and Patriotically | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Toronto | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump Time | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump Was Right About Everything | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| White House Doctor | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paper Clip | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Big League | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Love Trump / Loves Trump | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kennedy Center | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mustache | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| America Last | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| RINO / Republican in Name Only | No | – | 0 | 44%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Coward | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Palestine | No | – | 0 | 40%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Fuck / Fucking / Fucked | No | – | 0 | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| N Word | No | – | 0 | 24%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-april · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP