Donald Trump: Monthly window, Feb 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say in February?
Polymarket What will Trump say in February?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Feb 1, 2026 to Mar 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
48 words · 24 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 79%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Pelosi | Yes | – | 0 | 72%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | – | 0 | 72%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America | Yes | – | 0 | 68%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 67%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 63%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | 60%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | Yes | – | 0 | 59%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Filibuster | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nicki Minaj | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Autism | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Tango | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Uber | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DEI / Woke | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Magnet | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nine Wars / Ninth War | Yes | – | 0 | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Third Term | Yes | – | 0 | 41%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Fat shot / Ozempic | Yes | – | 0 | 33%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 33%n=253 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 27%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Turning Point | No | – | 0 | 64%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Moscow | No | – | 0 | 57%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | No | – | 0 | 57%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Nick Shirley | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 55%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Atomic Energy Commission | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Daddy | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deadlock | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Major Non-NATO Ally | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Microcosm | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nutjob | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oblivion | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Penguin | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Statuary marble | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff King | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Skedaddle | No | – | 0 | 47%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Kamikaze | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Knucklehead / Numskull / Numbskull | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Migrant Crime | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Stimulus | No | – | 0 | 39%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Nine War | No | – | 0 | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Antifa | No | – | 0 | 34%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| N-Word | No | – | 0 | 26%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 21%n=23 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-february · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP