Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 10, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the Cabinet Meeting?
Markets
22 words · 18 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 82%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 68%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 62%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | 59%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | Yes | 57%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Deal | Yes | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| National Guard | Yes | 51%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | Yes | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Military / Veteran | Yes | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Hamas | Yes | 49%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Water | Yes | 47%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | Yes | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AOC | Yes | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hostage | Yes | 39%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Portland | Yes | 39%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Economy | Yes | 33%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Schumer | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hottest | No | 65%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Furlough | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Political Violence | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT10-2 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP