Fox News (interviews): Episode, Jan 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
16 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greenland / Venezuela | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bovino / Homan | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hottest | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / Border Patrol | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Noem | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radical Left | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26JAN28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP