Donald Trump: Remarks, Dec 3, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the cabinet meeting?
Markets
20 words · 13 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 71%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 70%n=116 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | Yes | 66%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 64%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Drug | Yes | 60%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 53%n=81 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 52%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | 52%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 50%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Crime | Yes | 47%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Investment / Invested | Yes | 43%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| National Guard | Yes | 36%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | Yes | 22%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | No | 57%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Economy | No | 49%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Cartel | No | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 34%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | No | 33%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Water | No | 24%n=22 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP