Zohran Mamdani: Hearing, Mar 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his Rental Ripoff Hearing?
Markets
17 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 72%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Fee | Yes | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Housing | Yes | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord | Yes | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Five Boroughs | No | 59%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 54%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump / President | No | 46%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 44%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 43%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 34%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| FBI | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Freeze / Freezing | No | 29%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 28%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Rat | No | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast and Free | No | 23%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-MAMD26MAR25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP