Zohran Mamdani: Press conference, Mar 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his press conference?
Markets
15 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mental Health | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Housing | Yes | 54%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 52%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 52%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | No | 61%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 54%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| ADU / Dwelling | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social Worker | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wife / First Lady | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Childcare | No | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 45%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 37%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Property Tax | No | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 21%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAR19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP