Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jun 18, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his remarks at the Knicks City Hall Ceremony?
Markets
11 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 78%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 62%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| Clutch | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spurs | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 65%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 56%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Wemby / Wembanyama | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 1973 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks in 5 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NYPD | No | 35%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 19%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN18B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP