Will Donald Trump say “Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 28, 2026 (20%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump
- Probability
- 33% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to support an important industry here in the shores of the Gulf of America. How do we like the Gulf of America? the Gulf. That's…
…I changed a name from the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America and people love it. And I also changed the name of…
…of changing the name of the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America?" They said, "That's so funny." And then the guy comes back,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 28, 2026 (20%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gulf-of-america-or-gulf-of-trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gulf%20of%20america%20%2F%20gulf%20of%20trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP