Will Donald Trump say “Highest Inflation”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Highest Inflation” at 4 of 20 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (20%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=20, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 8 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Highest Inflation
- Probability
- 31% · n=20
- Settled
- 4/20 (20%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in the world. And they have the highest Scott they have the highest inflation anywhere in the world. Stand up Scott Besset. So, you know,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 21 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Highest Inflation |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| May 22, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| May 1, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Highest Inflation | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Highest Inflation”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Highest Inflation” at 4 of 20 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (20%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Highest Inflation” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=20). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Highest Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/highest-inflation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=highest%20inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP