Will Donald Trump say “ICE / Homeland”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “ICE / Homeland” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 28, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Feb 27, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
ICE / Homeland
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
He's a great guy. Actually, I'll tell you. Border Patrol and ICE and all law enforcement. Boy, I met a lot of your law enforcement…
…Blanche -- these are great people, by the way -- Secretary of Homeland Security Markwayne Mullin, Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, FBI Director Kash…
…for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Dr. Mehmet Oz. Thank you, Oz. and Homeland Security adviser Stephen Miller -- Stephen. As many of you know, Nick…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | ICE / Homeland |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “ICE / Homeland”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “ICE / Homeland” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “ICE / Homeland” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘ICE / Homeland’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/homeland-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=homeland%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP